Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Alaska Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
Alaska:
2010-2021 = 0.03%
2021 = 2.83%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Alaska's 34 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Alaska Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Alaska's 34 counties over the year (2021) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2021). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2021 and 2021
Employment Growth by County
white dot
Alaska:
2010-2021 = 0.03%
2021 = 2.83%
This figure displays the 34 counties of Alaska as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2021), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2021).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.03%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.03% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.03%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 10 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2021, while 18 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 16 counties whose most recent (2021) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.83%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 12 counties whose employment growth over 2021 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 34 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2021) and near-term (2021) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.03% over 2010-2021 and 2.83% over 2021:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the seven counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.03%) and near-term (2.83%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the three counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.03%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Alaska average (2.83%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the nine counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.03%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (2.83%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the nine counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.03%) and near-term (2.83%).
   
 
Summary of Alaska's 34 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(2.83%)
Above
(2.83%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.03%)
3
7
10
Below
(0.03%)
9
9
18
 
12
16
28
 
   
Leading Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Alaska:
2010-2021 = 0.03%
2021 = 2.83%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Alaska counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Alaska's average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.03%) as well as near-term (2021 = 2.83%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021 as noted in the table below.
Of Alaska's 34 counties, 7 (21%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Slipping Counties
white dot
Alaska:
2010-2021 = 0.03%
2021 = 2.83%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 3 Alaska counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.03%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2021 = 2.83%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Only 3 ( 9%) of Alaska's 34 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Alaska:
2010-2021 = 0.03%
2021 = 2.83%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 Alaska counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2021 = 0.03%), while they outpaced Alaska's average near-term (2021 = 2.83%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
Of Alaska's 34 counties, 26% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2021 vs. 2010-2021 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Alaska:
2010-2021 = 0.03%
2021 = 2.83%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 9 Alaska counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2021 = 0.03%) as well as near-term (2021 = 2.83%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2021.
26% of Alaska's counties, 9 of 34, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Alaska
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2021
 
2021
 
 
Leading Counties
 
10
0.10
 
16
2.89
58,119
 
6
0.51
 
3
8.16
1,259
 
4
0.74
 
10
5.28
32,847
 
7
0.31
 
6
7.28
1,134
 
1
2.69
 
8
6.88
43,612
 
8
0.26
 
5
7.53
6,486
 
5
0.51
 
12
5.01
2,727
Slipping Counties
 
2
1.10
 
24
-2.80
2,532
 
9
0.23
 
18
1.82
4,641
 
3
0.92
 
25
-2.89
2,962
Gaining Counties
 
16
-0.41
 
2
11.25
1,523
 
15
-0.36
 
1
31.23
1,807
 
25
-1.04
 
13
4.42
1,487
 
13
-0.24
 
15
2.91
22,025
 
20
-0.61
 
14
4.17
2,547
 
23
-0.83
 
7
6.90
2,558
 
24
-0.91
 
4
7.53
814
 
11
-0.09
 
9
6.78
3,732
 
17
-0.42
 
11
5.22
484
Lagging Counties
 
26
-1.22
 
27
-8.81
3,511
 
12
-0.19
 
17
2.79
196,730
 
19
-0.58
 
21
-2.02
7,649
 
27
-1.65
 
26
-4.26
2,925
 
22
-0.76
 
19
1.37
9,185
 
18
-0.56
 
20
-1.58
8,710
 
28
-2.40
 
28
-10.09
10,199
 
14
-0.26
 
23
-2.58
3,098
 
21
-0.69
 
22
-2.51
1,205
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
N
N
N
 
U
U
 
N
N
N
 
U
U
 
N
N
N
 
U
U
 
N
N
N
 
U
U
 
N
N
N
 
U
U
 
N
N
N
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.03
 
2.83
443,047
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.31
 
3.82
202,752,100
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

Please stay tuned...
while your request is processing:

Please wait while your request is being processed...
To offer the most comprehensive set of interactive options in support of your research, AK-REAP calculates and crunches most of the data and generates the narrative and graphic analysis on demand in response to your request.
Your request will soon be available.
Just a few more seconds....Your request has been generated and is now loading the results.