Kodiak Island Borough vs. Alaska
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Gross Domestic Product Growth and Change, 2001-2021
Introduction
Kodiak Island Borough vs. Alaska
Kodiak Island Borough:
2021 GDP = $848,359K
2021 Percent of State = 1.48%
Alaska:
2021 GDP = $57,349,378K
2021 Percent of U.S. = 0.25%
Nationally, GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is widely regarded as the foremost blue-chip barometer for tracking and calibrating the economic performance of the economy nationwide. Like its closely followed national counterpart, the GDP of the Kodiak Island Borough is the most comprehensive measure of output of all goods and services produced by labor and property located within the Kodiak Island Borough. It is a market valuation of the goods and services-both private and public-produced within a regional economy.
Unlike the widely and frequently reported employment and job numbers that measure labor as one of the units of input into production, GDP is a valuation of the output. Also, while County Personal Income is representative of the "purchasing power" of those that reside within a county, think of Gross Domestic Product as representative of the "producing power" of that county.
For a more detailed and technical explanation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by County compiled by the Regional Product Branch of Bureau of Economic Analysis please refer to the A Primer on Local Area Gross Domestic Product Methodology article found on the BEA website.

BEA: Definition

GDP by county is the county counterpart of the Nation's gross domestic product (GDP), the Bureau's featured and most comprehensive measure of U.S. economic activity. GDP by county is derived as the sum of the GDP originating in all the industries in a county.

The statistics of real GDP by county are prepared in chained (2012) dollars. Real GDP by county is an inflation-adjusted measure of each county's gross product that is based on national prices for the goods and services produced within that county. The statistics of real GDP by county and of quantity indexes with a base year of 2012 were derived by applying national chain-type price indexes to the current-dollar GDP-by-county values for the 64 detailed NAICS-based industries for 1997 forward.

The chain-type index formula that is used in the national accounts is then used to calculate the values of total real GDP by county and of real GDP by county at more aggregated industry levels. Real GDP by county may reflect a substantial volume of output that is sold to other counties and regions. To the extent that a county's output is produced and sold in national markets at relatively uniform prices (or sold locally at national prices), real GDP by state captures the differences across states that reflect the relative differences in the mix of goods and services that the counties produce. However, real GDP by county does not capture geographic differences in the prices of goods and services that are produced and sold locally.

United States. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Product Division.
BEA News Release (GDP by State). 2013. Web.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state.

BEA: Relation of GDP by county to U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

An industry's GDP by county, or its value added, in practice, is calculated as the sum of incomes earned by labor and capital and the costs incurred in the production of goods and services. That is, it includes the wages and salaries that workers earn, the income earned by individual or joint entrepreneurs as well as by corporations, and business taxes such as sales, property, and Federal excise taxes that count as a business expense.

GDP is calculated as the sum of what consumers, businesses, and government spend on final goods and services, plus investment and net foreign trade. In theory, incomes earned should equal what is spent, but due to different data sources, income earned, usually referred to as gross domestic income (GDI), does not always equal what is spent (GDP). The difference is referred to as the "statistical discrepancy."

Starting with the 2004 comprehensive revision, BEA's annual industry accounts and its GDP-by-county accounts allocate the statistical discrepancy across all private-sector industries. Therefore, the GDP-by-county statistics are now conceptually more similar to the GDP statistics in the national accounts than they had been in the past.

U.S. real GDP by county for the advance year, 2012, may differ from the Annual Industry Accounts' GDP by industry and, hence NIPA (National Income and Product Account) GDP, because of different sources and vintages of data used to estimate GDP by state and NIPA GDP. For the revised years of 2009-2011, U.S. GDP by county is nearly identical to GDP by industry except for small differences resulting from the GDP-by-county accounts' exclusion of overseas Federal military and civilian activity (because it cannot be attributed to a particular state). The GDP-by-industry statistics are identical to those from the 2012 annual revision of the NIPAs, released in July 2012. However, because of revisions since July 2012, GDP in the NIPAs may differ from U.S. GDP by county.

United States. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Product Division.
BEA News Release (GDP by State). 2013. Web.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state.

Kodiak Island Borough Gross Domestic Product, 2002-2021
Current vs. Chained 2012 Dollars (Millions)
Kodiak Island Borough Gross Domestic Product, 2002-2021
Current vs. Chained 2012 Dollars (Millions)
Figure 1.
Figure 1 depicts the Kodiak Island Borough's annual gross domestic product over 2002-2021 in current and constant (chained 2012) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real total good and services output of the Kodiak Island Borough over time.
When measured in current dollars, the Kodiak Island Borough's GDP increased 84.82%, from $459M in 2002 to $848M in 2021. When measured in constant 2012 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 15.94%, from $591M in 2002 to $686M in 2021.
Real Gross Domestic Product, 2001-2021 (Millions)
Real Gross Domestic Product, 2001-2021 (Millions)
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks the Kodiak Island Borough's and Alaska's annual real gross domestic product for the period 2001-2021 to illustrate real gross domestic product patterns over time. During this 21-year period, the Kodiak Island Borough's real gross domestic product rose from $605M in 2001 to $686M in 2021, for a net gain of $81M, or 13.40%. In comparison, Alaska's real GDP advanced from $40,959M in 2001 to $50,869M in 2021, for a net gain of $9,911M, or 24.20%.
Real Gross Domestic Product Indices (2001=100): 2001-2021
Real Gross Domestic Product Indices (2001=100): 2001-2021
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows the Kodiak Island Borough's real gross domestic product growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Alaska, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real gross domestic product in 2001 as a base figure of 100, and the real gross domestic products in later years as a percentage of the 2001 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real gross domestic product growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
The Kodiak Island Borough's overall real GDP growth was 13.40% over 2001-2021 trailed Alaska's increase of 24.20%, and fell below the United States' increase of 47.85%.
Gross Domestic Product as a Percent of the Alaska Total: 2001-2021
Gross Domestic Product as a Percent of the Alaska Total: 2001-2021
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the gross domestic product growth of the Kodiak Island Borough is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Alaska's statewide gross domestic product over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's gross domestic product grew faster, or declined less, than Alaska's gross domestic product, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 2001, the Kodiak Island Borough's GDP totaled 1.60% of Alaska's GDP, while in 2021 it totaled 1.48% thereby yielding a -0.12% share-shift.
   
 
Gross Domestic Product Share-Shift
2021 vs. 2001
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2021
vs.
2001
-0.12%
=
1.48%
-
1.60%
 
   
Kodiak Island Borough Real Gross Domestic Product:
Annual Percent Change, 2002-2021
Kodiak Island Borough Real Gross Domestic Product:
Annual Percent Change, 2002-2021
Figure 5.
Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of the Kodiak Island Borough's real gross domestic product growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 2002-2021. The average annual percent change for the entire 20-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, the Kodiak Island Borough's real GDP grew at an annual rate of 0.68% over 2002-2021. The burough posted its highest growth in 2003 (5.74%) and recorded its lowest growth in 2016 (-6.75%). In 2021, the Kodiak Island Borough's real GDP grew by 0.20%
Kodiak Island Borough Real Gross Domestic Product:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 2002-2021
Kodiak Island Borough Real Gross Domestic Product:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 2002-2021
Figure 6.
Figure 6 again illustrates the annual percent change in the Kodiak Island Borough's real gross domestic product since 2002, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2021.
During 2002-2009, the Kodiak Island Borough's annual real GDP growth rate averaged 1.34%. It averaged 0.59% throughout the 2010s, -1.54% thus far this decade (2020-2021).
Real Gross Domestic Product Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Real Gross Domestic Product Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for the Kodiak Island Borough noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Alaska and the nation. As the chart reveals, the Kodiak Island Borough's average annual real gross domestic product growth lagged Alaska's average during the 2000s (1.34% vs. 4.10%), outpaced Alaska's average in the 2010s (0.59% vs. -0.47%), and registered above Alaska's average over the 2 year period of the current decade, 2020-2021 (-1.54% vs. -2.39%).
Finally, relative to nationwide real gross domestic product growth trends, the Kodiak Island Borough posted below the nation throughout the 2000s (1.34% vs. 1.77%), trailed the nation over the 2010s (0.59% vs. 2.25%), and fell below the nation over 2020-2021 (-1.54% vs. 1.59%).
   
 
Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.68
1.34
0.59
-1.54
0.20
 
1.17
4.10
-0.47
-2.39
0.32
 
1.99
1.77
2.25
1.59
5.95
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Kodiak Island Borough:
Gross Domestic Product, 2001-2021
 
2001
 
456,280
0.808
604,665
100.0
N
1.60
2002
 
459,021
0.790
591,412
97.8
-2.19
1.54
2003
 
496,642
0.836
625,354
103.4
5.74
1.55
2004
 
513,541
0.843
630,873
104.3
0.88
1.45
2005
 
538,778
0.858
641,905
106.2
1.75
1.34
2006
 
556,270
0.863
645,529
106.8
0.56
1.23
2007
 
571,864
0.861
644,370
106.6
-0.18
1.15
2008
 
598,209
0.878
657,040
108.7
1.97
1.09
2009
 
638,889
0.897
671,652
111.1
2.22
1.28
2010
 
688,040
0.948
709,440
117.3
5.63
1.29
2011
 
725,269
0.993
743,271
122.9
4.77
1.27
2012
 
748,400
1.000
748,400
123.8
0.69
1.28
2013
 
785,874
1.025
766,956
126.8
2.48
1.37
2014
 
811,360
1.026
768,069
127.0
0.15
1.44
2015
 
803,939
0.988
739,126
122.2
-3.77
1.56
2016
 
763,925
0.921
689,238
114.0
-6.75
1.51
2017
 
800,726
0.953
713,235
118.0
3.48
1.50
2018
 
798,201
0.933
697,919
115.4
-2.15
1.45
2019
 
829,468
0.945
707,566
117.0
1.38
1.52
2020
 
815,973
0.914
684,339
113.2
-3.28
1.62
2021
 
848,359
0.916
685,696
113.4
0.20
1.48
Source: Calculations by the Alaska Regional Economic Analysis Project (AK-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_2000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Alaska:
Gross Domestic Product, 2001-2021
 
2001
 
28,494,061
0.703
40,958,700
100.0
N
0.27
2002
 
29,756,850
0.737
42,979,048
104.9
4.93
0.27
2003
 
32,037,922
0.727
42,355,306
103.4
-1.45
0.28
2004
 
35,302,447
0.756
44,055,010
107.6
4.01
0.29
2005
 
40,356,604
0.783
45,657,067
111.5
3.64
0.31
2006
 
45,094,111
0.844
49,190,165
120.1
7.74
0.33
2007
 
49,583,742
0.887
51,720,973
126.3
5.14
0.34
2008
 
55,122,478
0.879
51,252,097
125.1
-0.91
0.37
2009
 
49,957,770
0.965
56,215,136
137.2
9.68
0.35
2010
 
53,331,622
0.937
54,601,512
133.3
-2.87
0.35
2011
 
56,896,350
0.948
55,280,318
135.0
1.24
0.36
2012
 
58,283,630
1.000
58,283,630
142.3
5.43
0.36
2013
 
57,247,714
0.950
55,354,302
135.1
-5.03
0.34
2014
 
56,484,937
0.930
54,188,237
132.3
-2.11
0.32
2015
 
51,490,883
0.939
54,740,850
133.6
1.02
0.28
2016
 
50,727,653
0.931
54,246,627
132.4
-0.90
0.27
2017
 
53,301,510
0.931
54,278,667
132.5
0.06
0.27
2018
 
54,899,608
0.915
53,326,985
130.2
-1.75
0.27
2019
 
54,728,232
0.917
53,433,791
130.5
0.20
0.26
2020
 
50,475,190
0.870
50,705,178
123.8
-5.11
0.24
2021
 
57,349,378
0.873
50,869,390
124.2
0.32
0.25
Source: Calculations by the Alaska Regional Economic Analysis Project (AK-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_2000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Gross Domestic Product, 2001-2021
 
2001
 
10,581,929,000
0.816
13,263,417,000
100.0
N
2002
 
10,929,108,000
0.830
13,488,357,000
101.7
1.70
2003
 
11,456,450,000
0.853
13,865,519,000
104.5
2.80
2004
 
12,217,196,000
0.886
14,399,696,000
108.6
3.85
2005
 
13,039,197,000
0.917
14,901,269,000
112.3
3.48
2006
 
13,815,583,000
0.942
15,315,943,000
115.5
2.78
2007
 
14,474,228,000
0.961
15,623,871,000
117.8
2.01
2008
 
14,769,862,000
0.962
15,642,962,000
117.9
0.12
2009
 
14,478,067,000
0.937
15,236,262,000
114.9
-2.60
2010
 
15,048,970,000
0.963
15,648,991,000
118.0
2.71
2011
 
15,599,731,000
0.978
15,891,534,000
119.8
1.55
2012
 
16,253,970,000
1.000
16,253,970,000
122.5
2.28
2013
 
16,843,196,000
1.018
16,553,348,000
124.8
1.84
2014
 
17,550,687,000
1.042
16,932,051,000
127.7
2.29
2015
 
18,206,023,000
1.070
17,390,295,000
131.1
2.71
2016
 
18,695,106,000
1.088
17,680,274,000
133.3
1.67
2017
 
19,477,337,000
1.112
18,076,651,000
136.3
2.24
2018
 
20,533,058,000
1.145
18,609,078,000
140.3
2.95
2019
 
21,380,976,000
1.171
19,036,052,000
143.5
2.29
2020
 
21,060,474,000
1.139
18,509,143,000
139.6
-2.77
2021
 
23,315,081,000
1.206
19,609,812,000
147.8
5.95
Source: Calculations by the Alaska Regional Economic Analysis Project (AK-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_2000_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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